CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BSC
2 - 3
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
OLM
2 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLM
63%
19%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
AUC
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 3
OLM
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 3
CUE
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 1
LIG
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIG
1 - 2
CUE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 0
BSC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |