CD El Nacional vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRI
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
NAC
3 - 0
TAC
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
BSC
2 - 0
NAC
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUN
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |