CD El Nacional vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
UCE
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 2
MAC
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 2
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 0
QUI
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LIG
3 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |