CD El Nacional vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
LDU
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 0
CUE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
TEC
2 - 0
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
OLM
3 - 3
MAC
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |