CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BSC
5 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 0
TEC
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 1
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 2
IVT
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |