CD El Nacional vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
51%
22%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
GAL
4 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
43%
23%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
5 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
36%
29%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
SCI
2 - 0
COR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SAN
1 - 2
COR
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
COR
2 - 1
SCI
34%
29%
38%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |