CD El Nacional vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
CUE
38%
30%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
0 - 1
NAC
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 1
NAC
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
AME
4 - 1
12O
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
12O
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
12O
4 - 2
SPC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
12O
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |