CD El Nacional vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 1
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
NAC
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
PQU
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 3
CAL
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 5
IMB
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AME
4 - 0
CAL
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |