CD El Nacional vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ORE
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EME
3 - 0
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 4
INJ
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
AME
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PQU
1 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |