CD El Nacional vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1977 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
9%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
COR
3 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CUE
0 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCI
13%
23%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 1
COR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GLP
2 - 1
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 0
CAU
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ALB
2 - 5
RIV
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
SLO
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |