CD El Nacional vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 1
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 0
OLI
7%
34%
59%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1987 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
48%
23%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 2
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1991 |
COR
4 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 1
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |