Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Primera Fase Final
First-leg 2-3
CD El Nacional vs Blooming analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
QUI
1 - 2
NAC
9%
16%
75%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
BLO
1 - 4
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BLO
4 - 1
STR
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
DGV
6 - 0
BLO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BLO
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |