CD El Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIG
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 4
NAC
44%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LOJ
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UCE
0 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 4
IVT
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 4
BSC
31%
29%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
2 - 0
OLM
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 2
BSC
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |