CD El Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
OLM
1 - 0
NAC
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
DPT
1 - 1
NAC
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
EME
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 0
DPT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
EME
0 - 3
BSC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 0
OLM
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
QUI
0 - 0
BSC
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |