CD El Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1982 |
COL
2 - 0
BSC
68%
18%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
COB
3 - 0
BSC
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BSC
1 - 3
COL
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BSC
1 - 1
COB
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
LIG
4 - 2
BSC
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |