CD El Nacional vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 3
CUE
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 2
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 3
CUE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
AUC
2 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 2
BSC
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 1
FAM
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |