CD El Nacional vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
MUS
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 4
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CUE
0 - 2
AUC
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 3
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |