CD El Nacional vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CSM
0 - 1
NAC
8%
15%
78%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSM
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
AME
14%
19%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
OLM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 3
AME
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
INS
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |