CD El Nacional vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
LDU
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
NAC
38%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
PQU
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
AME
4 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 0
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
AME
2 - 2
CFC
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
INJ
1 - 2
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |