CD El Nacional vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
TEC
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
UCE
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
EME
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
TEC
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
BSC
4 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
RIV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |