CD El Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1985 |
SBO
1 - 2
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
0 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
SBO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
AME
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
MIL
0 - 0
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |