CD El Nacional vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAC
97%
2%
1%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1984 |
NAC
6 - 0
OCT
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
1 - 3
NAC
12%
24%
64%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |