CD Dúrcal vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 2
CDD
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 2
UDM
17%
19%
64%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GAB
3 - 0
CDD
88%
9%
4%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDD
4 - 3
PUR
34%
22%
44%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
CDD
64%
20%
17%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEL
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 7
GUA
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
CUL
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 4
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
CIU
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |