CD Dúrcal vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1510%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 3
ALM
17%
21%
62%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHU
6 - 0
CDD
79%
14%
8%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 2
OTU
32%
23%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PMO
1 - 0
CDD
75%
14%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
GAB
10 - 1
CDD
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ZUB
3 - 2
CIU
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CIU
0 - 0
SAL
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 1
CIU
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CIU
0 - 1
PUR
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
MED
2 - 1
CIU
40%
23%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |