CD Dúrcal vs Alfacar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CIU
1 - 0
CDD
35%
23%
42%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
CDD
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 4
CFC
42%
24%
34%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
CDD
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 5
SAN
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 4
CEL
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
ALF
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
CUL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALF
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 0
GUA
54%
21%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |