CD Dragon vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
11º
9º
17
9º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JOC
1 - 2
CDD
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
CDD
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 1
CDD
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 3
JOC
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 1
CDD
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDP
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
MUN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDP
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |