CD Dragon vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
11º
7º
11
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 1
FAS
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 3
FIR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
CDD
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 1
JOC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FIR
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FUE
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |