CD Dragon vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
10º
6º
26
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 65% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
CDD
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
CDP
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDD
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
7 - 1
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
CDD
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FAS
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
3 - 3
SAN
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |