CD Dragon vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDD
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDD
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDD
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CDD
1 - 1
FAS
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
FAS
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 4
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAS
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |