CD Dragon vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAS
2 - 1
CDD
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 2
PAS
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FIR
0 - 1
CDD
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 3
ALI
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
UES
3 - 2
CDD
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 2
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAS
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FIR
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |