Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
CD Dragon vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PAS
3 - 1
CDD
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 1
ALI
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
CDD
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CDD
2 - 0
UES
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 0
CDD
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 2
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
UES
2 - 1
JUV
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |