CD Dragon vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+348%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
10º
10º
16
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 39 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 38 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 33 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 27 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 19 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
22% | 64.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
CDD
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
CDP
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDD
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 3
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 1
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ONC
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 3
CDC
69%
19%
11%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
ALI
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
JOC
2 - 0
CDC
84%
12%
5%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 1
JOC
6%
14%
80%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | +1 |