CD Dragon vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
10º
6º
23
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
AGU
21%
28%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
ONC
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 0
CDD
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
FAS
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ATL
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |