CD Dragon vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
UES
3 - 2
CDD
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 2
SFC
25%
29%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
CDD
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDD
0 - 0
MUN
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
CDD
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 1
FAS
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 1
ALI
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |