CD Dragon vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
CDD
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 1
UES
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
CDD
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAN
35%
29%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
UES
1 - 0
CDD
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 4
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |