Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
CD Don Benito vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
4 - 0
CDS
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 0
DBN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
5 - 3
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
DBN
2 - 0
NUM
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
DBN
3 - 0
SFN
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
UDL
3 - 0
RAY
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
RAY
4 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 1
RAY
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
RAY
5 - 1
MAL
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
RAY
4 - 3
MAN
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |