CD Don Benito vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
13º
1º
32
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 4
DBN
14%
22%
64%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DBN
2 - 0
AZU
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
DBN
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DBN
3 - 0
UDF
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
DBN
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
CDD
18%
21%
62%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDD
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
MOR
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
CDD
54%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |