CD Don Álvaro vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PLA
4 - 1
CDD
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARR
36%
25%
38%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CFJ
0 - 1
CDD
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDD
3 - 2
UCL
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 0
PUE
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
EXT
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRU
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 1
MIA
43%
26%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
TRU
5 - 0
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |