CD Don Álvaro vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
54
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
3 - 2
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
TRU
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 2
PLA
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AZU
2 - 0
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
ADL
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
AZU
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SRQ
1 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
UCL
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
XER
0 - 2
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |