CD Don Álvaro vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDZ
2 - 1
CDD
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 4
MAD
9%
19%
73%
|
20 | 58 | 38 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 2
CDD
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 0
CDD
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
CAB
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GEV
3 - 3
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
GEV
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
CDS
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
HER
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |