CD Don Álvaro vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UCL
3 - 2
CDD
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
CDD
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
MAD
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EMD
1 - 3
CDD
43%
26%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
AZU
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
3 - 0
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ADL
2 - 0
OLI
57%
24%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ADL
0 - 1
SEV
43%
27%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ADL
5 - 0
UCL
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |