Don Álvaro B vs CD Zarceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
47.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Álvaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAD
3 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
CDA
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 5
ALV
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 1
BAR
42%
21%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
ALV
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Zarceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDZ
4 - 0
TRU
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 3
CDZ
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDZ
3 - 2
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 5
CDZ
9%
14%
76%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDZ
5 - 3
CDA
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |