CD Diocesano vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 0
CDD
34%
26%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDD
2 - 1
EMD
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
JER
0 - 0
CDD
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDD
6 - 0
UDF
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
CDD
31%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ADL
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
3 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
TRU
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
EMD
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
JER
1 - 2
TRU
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |