CD Diocesano vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
6º
6º
30
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDD
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDD
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
CDB
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
AZU
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRU
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
PUE
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |