CD Diocesano vs Racing Valverdeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
14º
7º
32
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
CDD
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 3
VIL
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 3
CDD
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
DBN
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
3 - 1
CDD
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Valverdeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAS
29%
23%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
JER
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |