CD Derio vs Urduliz FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
12º
11º
1
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 65 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 63 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 59 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
CDD
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
ARE
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AÑO
2 - 3
CDD
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
DAC
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
DEU
1 - 0
CDD
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URD
1 - 1
SNT
47%
26%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 1
URD
71%
19%
11%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
URD
1 - 3
AUR
53%
25%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAS
3 - 1
URD
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
URD
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |