CD Covadonga U19 vs Racing U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
16º
13º
35
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 59 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 40 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 29 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 84% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COV
1 - 4
CEL
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
COV
39%
25%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
COV
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
PON
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
6 - 2
COV
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Racing U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 4
REA
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
REA
3 - 3
PON
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
REA
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |