CD Covadonga U19 B vs Manuel Rubio Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
16º
12º
21
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 77 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 72 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 13 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDR
4 - 3
COV
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
REA
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
CDL
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
COV
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COV
0 - 2
JUV
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manuel Rubio Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 4
LLA
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAN
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALC
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 6
MAN
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
AST
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |