Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 5-2
CD Coria vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Coria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
AZU
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 0
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
COR
26%
27%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IMP
3 - 2
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
47%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |