Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Corellano vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
AVI
2 - 1
CDC
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAN
48%
27%
25%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CDC
0 - 1
TUD
44%
27%
29%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 0
CDC
65%
22%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
AVI
2 - 1
CDC
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
GIN
3 - 2
AVI
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 0
CLU
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
NOI
1 - 1
AVI
46%
28%
26%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 1
PON
61%
22%
16%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |